PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MerryMeFlyFree

0x43eb8efb4f846c55788f6378adf79b11cd977340

Realised P&L
$-2.6k
Volume
$165.9k
Markets traded
22,598
Open portfolio
$40.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded22,598
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration90.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 55% or higher? · No0.4600.355$14.91−$4.41
Will the Republicans win Miami-Dade County in the Florida Senate race in 2026? · No0.5000.465$9.30−$0.70
Will Hyperliquid dip to $70 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.400$8.00−$2.00
Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · No0.5100.325$7.80−$4.44
XRP Up or Down - August 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET · Up0.0430.000$0.00−$1.00
XRP Up or Down - July 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET · Down0.1120.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - July 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET · Up0.9100.000$0.00−$1.54
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET · Up0.6800.000$0.00−$2.99
Solana Up or Down - August 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET · Up0.6400.000$0.00−$1.00
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00−$1.00
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Down0.9800.000$0.00−$1.99
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$1.00
Solana Up or Down - August 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET · Up0.5400.000$0.00−$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 19:54GitHub.com critical incident by October 15, 2026?SELL0.031$0.54
10-06 08:00Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%?SELL0.51$10.20
10-05 18:40Will OpenAI have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of November 2026?SELL0.11$2.20
09-02 23:44Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
09-02 23:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETBUY0.0257731959$1.00
09-02 23:34Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETBUY0.0295857988$1.00
09-02 22:28Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-02 22:23Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETBUY0.0230769007$1.00
09-02 22:19Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-02 21:13Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETBUY0.0222222222$1.00
09-02 20:39Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-02 20:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-02 19:08Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-02 16:33Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.02$1.00
09-02 16:24Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.0206327174$1.00