kai-xin
0x43eb2ba94d3b0ed1bc241174b4993b666285f17f
- Realised P&L
- $-10.0k
- Volume
- $1.79M
- Markets traded
- 405
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded405
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.5kat 0.580Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 19?
- +$4.3kat 0.505Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 31?
- +$2.5kat 0.490Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on December 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.686Solana Up or Down - January 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$2.2kat 0.992Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 08:54 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.82 | $690.19 |
| 09-27 08:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 27? | SELL | 0.79 | $210.93 |
| 09-27 07:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 27? | BUY | 0.71 | $189.57 |
| 09-27 03:44 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 14:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.9196476684 | $14.20 |
| 09-21 14:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.85 | $19.43 |
| 09-21 14:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.9574979367 | $13.92 |
| 09-21 14:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.96 | $13.94 |
| 09-21 14:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.9619980769 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-21 14:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.792 | $111.67 |
| 09-21 13:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.812 | $8.12 |
| 09-21 13:57 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.821 | $8.21 |
| 09-21 13:56 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.783 | $43.07 |
| 09-21 13:47 | Will Solana reach $120 on September 21? | BUY | 0.552 | $2.76 |