PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kai-xin

0x43eb2ba94d3b0ed1bc241174b4993b666285f17f

Realised P&L
$-10.0k
Volume
$1.79M
Markets traded
405
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded405
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17? · No0.0640.000$0.00−$4.41
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on May 6? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00−$0.01
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 6? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Dogecoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.7900.000$0.00−$7.90
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26? · No0.0410.000$0.00−$6.20
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 1 Iceland? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00−$0.01
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Solana reach $115 on September 20? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$6.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET · Down0.0710.000$0.00−$18.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Down0.0300.000$0.00−$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 08:54Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 27?BUY0.82$690.19
09-27 08:13Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 27?SELL0.79$210.93
09-27 07:52Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on September 27?BUY0.71$189.57
09-27 03:44Ethereum Up or Down - September 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.001$0.01
09-21 14:45Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.9196476684$14.20
09-21 14:40Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.85$19.43
09-21 14:39Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.9574979367$13.92
09-21 14:39Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.96$13.94
09-21 14:39Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.9619980769$5.00
09-21 14:35Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?SELL0.99$9.90
09-21 14:01Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.792$111.67
09-21 13:57Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.812$8.12
09-21 13:57Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.821$8.21
09-21 13:56Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on September 21?BUY0.783$43.07
09-21 13:47Will Solana reach $120 on September 21?BUY0.552$2.76