PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Probinan0

0x43e2e6a9df3e500923aca76c22cee040046c242d

Realised P&L
$-678.43
Volume
$101.6k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$456.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0120.004$456.19$769.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 22:10Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5819998993$2.30
06-13 03:11Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1689999934$17.00
06-12 14:02Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?SELL0.53$19.00
06-12 00:39Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?BUY0.5299999958$19.00
06-08 03:18Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?BUY0.6899999872$14.00
01-15 10:28Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.013$263.40
01-14 16:29Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.012$9.94