Probinan0
0x43e2e6a9df3e500923aca76c22cee040046c242d
- Realised P&L
- $-678.43
- Volume
- $101.6k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $456.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.004 | $456.19 | −$769.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.00at 0.197Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$5.60at 0.724Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$-2.06at 0.559Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 22:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5819998993 | $2.30 |
| 06-13 03:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1689999934 | $17.00 |
| 06-12 14:02 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | SELL | 0.53 | $19.00 |
| 06-12 00:39 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.5299999958 | $19.00 |
| 06-08 03:18 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BUY | 0.6899999872 | $14.00 |
| 01-15 10:28 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.013 | $263.40 |
| 01-14 16:29 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.012 | $9.94 |