0x43dc9d733a904c9f113b5e092815189c103c8f10
0x43dc9d733a904c9f113b5e092815189c103c8f10
- Realised P&L
- $11.62
- Volume
- $10.20
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $15.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar113.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cina vs. Muller: Match O/U 21.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.575 | $4.87 | +$0.64 |
| Wong vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 21.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.560 | $4.83 | +$0.52 |
| Clemson vs. California · California | 0.500 | 0.355 | $3.94 | −$1.61 |
| Clemson vs. California: O/U 52.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.140 | $1.43 | −$3.67 |
| Tabilo vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5 · Over | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.98at 0.500Marozsan vs. Daniel: Match O/U 21.5
- +$4.46at 0.500Faria vs. Gaston: Match O/U 21.5
- +$4.24at 0.500Basilashvili vs. Zandschulp: Match O/U 21.5
- +$-0.43at 0.500St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:49 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 | SELL | 0.47 | $4.79 |