testbij
0x43da16207620b5e0eeb6feb48ae08db3381201a8
- Realised P&L
- $-193.14
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $68.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)35.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.64at 0.070Will Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist–Leninist) (CPN-UML) win between 20 and 29 seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?
- +$15.87at 0.240Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?
- +$15.10at 0.450Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
- +$6.26at 0.248Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$1.19at 0.330Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 09:44 | Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1689999036 | $1.44 |
| 07-05 09:55 | Will Solana reach $400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0359999856 | $2.36 |
| 07-05 09:55 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0255119017 | $1.99 |
| 06-27 10:36 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0192727273 | $5.30 |
| 06-27 10:35 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0186883938 | $6.44 |
| 06-04 10:10 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0189999979 | $8.80 |
| 06-04 10:01 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0190000001 | $4.30 |
| 06-03 10:35 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.00 |
| 06-03 10:29 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 02:43 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0239999805 | $1.18 |
| 05-30 11:40 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0370000004 | $4.00 |
| 05-30 11:39 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4609999947 | $17.00 |
| 05-28 10:21 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 05-23 10:47 | Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999866 | $2.84 |
| 05-23 10:46 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in May? | BUY | 0.0070000001 | $1.00 |