0x43D2E0289B1c8FE3e7Fb7590293549BEb5c9F5a7-1767520432208
0x43d2e0289b1c8fe3e7fb7590293549beb5c9f5a7
- Realised P&L
- $-3.7k
- Volume
- $22.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $5.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration93.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.767 | 0.633 | $5.0k | −$1.0k |
| UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) · Movsar Evloev | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$998.95 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$446.43at 0.691UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$25.33at 0.750Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February?
- +$5.50at 0.890No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 20:00 | UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $3.0k |
| 10-20 16:59 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.768730234 | $5.0k |
| 10-20 16:44 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7594226789 | $1000.00 |
| 07-10 09:29 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6799999999 | $982.06 |
| 05-09 21:57 | Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.2099999999 | $998.95 |
| 02-09 18:27 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0395738216 | $100.00 |
| 02-09 18:20 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | SELL | 0.94 | $125.33 |
| 01-30 14:39 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of February? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |