nennou
0x43cfb584c8bfa7f322ea258e251bd656b30788fa
- Realised P&L
- $-20.6k
- Volume
- $2.18M
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $635.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.850Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
- +$2.2kat 0.268Will Mikey Madison be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
- +$2.0kat 0.716Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
- +$2.0kat 0.890Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$1.8kat 0.889Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 12:45 | Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.689398374 | $423.98 |
| 08-30 14:13 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | SELL | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 08-26 12:14 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.4176606766 | $835.31 |
| 08-23 18:44 | UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | SELL | 0.9457026509 | $148.05 |
| 08-23 12:13 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.2732861 | $546.57 |
| 08-23 12:12 | Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.9264218981 | $840.88 |
| 08-23 12:12 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.65766369 | $678.29 |
| 08-21 11:27 | Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.03 |
| 08-21 11:27 | Will USD be between 1.7M and 1.8M Iranian rials on August 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.12 |
| 08-20 12:20 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31? | SELL | 0.1513487391 | $147.04 |
| 08-19 13:53 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | BUY | 0.387831778 | $400.00 |
| 08-19 12:23 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.81 |
| 08-18 12:02 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.0311470973 | $46.72 |
| 08-17 13:32 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 08-15 16:08 | US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31? | SELL | 0.8596511719 | $220.07 |