Walleto
0x43c6c02b84348088d4052e0a2d2a4166860a3852
- Realised P&L
- $244.51
- Volume
- $158.5k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $249.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? · No | 0.974 | 0.974 | $239.00 | −$0.12 |
| Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.048 | $5.54 | −$3.79 |
| Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.050 | $5.15 | −$6.18 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$250.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
- +$152.34at 0.230Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$150.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?
- +$100.00at 0.500Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
- +$59.10at 0.315Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 08:37 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.975 | $128.70 |
| 06-27 08:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.824 | $49.44 |
| 05-22 02:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? | BUY | 0.93 | $14.88 |
| 05-22 02:22 | Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | BUY | 0.87 | $22.62 |
| 05-22 01:34 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.181 | $86.55 |
| 05-21 02:29 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.656 | $17.86 |
| 05-21 01:14 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.3770167603 | $81.88 |
| 03-21 15:31 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.03 | $3.00 |
| 12-09 03:24 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.07 | $134.14 |
| 11-01 02:04 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.05 | $6.72 |
| 10-12 01:12 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.07 | $4.26 |
| 08-28 16:09 | Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1 | $34.00 |
| 08-09 04:06 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $61.19 |
| 07-28 15:18 | Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $42.64 |
| 07-28 15:18 | Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |