paladino86
0x43c617266151f4fa3e3d3a8718d438252bc369f9
- Realised P&L
- $-63.86
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 345
- Open portfolio
- $22.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded345
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.23at 0.052Will White House post 200+ posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?
- +$11.20at 0.259LKP Motor Lublin vs. Gornik Zabrze: O/U 1.5
- +$11.07at 0.094Will FC Bayern Munich Legends win on 2026-08-15?
- +$9.92at 0.442Real Salt Lake vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
- +$9.41at 0.115Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:37 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999151 | $2.80 |
| 09-30 15:53 | Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.789999961 | $4.05 |
| 09-30 15:52 | Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | BUY | 0.7729999843 | $3.95 |
| 09-30 11:42 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? | BUY | 0.2859999694 | $1.55 |
| 09-29 17:58 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30? | BUY | 0.3209999488 | $1.70 |
| 09-29 12:52 | Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? | BUY | 0.2699999683 | $1.45 |
| 09-28 13:43 | Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | BUY | 0.449999933 | $2.35 |
| 09-27 15:07 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $2.00 |
| 09-26 00:43 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1499999874 | $1.19 |
| 09-25 17:56 | Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999386 | $2.50 |
| 09-24 20:03 | Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech? | BUY | 0.3105882353 | $1.65 |
| 09-24 11:45 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999382 | $2.90 |
| 09-24 11:44 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1569999975 | $1.08 |
| 09-23 20:46 | CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.20 |
| 09-21 00:05 | Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? | BUY | 0.2706666594 | $1.45 |