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Traders

paladino86

0x43c617266151f4fa3e3d3a8718d438252bc369f9

Realised P&L
$-63.86
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
345
Open portfolio
$22.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded345
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026? · Yes0.4801.000$5.21+$2.71
Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · No0.7900.880$4.51+$0.46
Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? · Yes0.7730.826$4.22+$0.27
Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026? · No0.5400.625$3.24+$0.44
Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election? · Yes0.2700.405$2.17+$0.72
Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? · Yes0.4500.320$1.67−$0.68
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais? · Yes0.2860.183$0.99−$0.56
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · Yes0.2710.043$0.23−$1.22
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes0.4200.037$0.19−$1.91
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? · No0.2200.000$0.00−$1.20
Will Brandon Nakashima advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$7.31
Will Energetik Mingechevir win on 2026-09-04? · Yes0.7800.000$0.00−$3.90
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.10
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5100.000$0.00−$2.55
CA River Plate vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5 · Under0.7500.000$0.00−$3.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:37Will Trump's approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on October 2, 2026?BUY0.5399999151$2.80
09-30 15:53Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.789999961$4.05
09-30 15:52Will Bia Kicis win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?BUY0.7729999843$3.95
09-30 11:42Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?BUY0.2859999694$1.55
09-29 17:58Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?BUY0.3209999488$1.70
09-29 12:52Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?BUY0.2699999683$1.45
09-28 13:43Will the PLQ win 32-35 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?BUY0.449999933$2.35
09-27 15:07Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$2.00
09-26 00:43US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1499999874$1.19
09-25 17:56Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?BUY0.4799999386$2.50
09-24 20:03Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?BUY0.3105882353$1.65
09-24 11:45Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5599999382$2.90
09-24 11:44Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?BUY0.1569999975$1.08
09-23 20:46CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30?BUY0.219999978$1.20
09-21 00:05Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?BUY0.2706666594$1.45