captainhanswang
0x43c4dcaeb7c535f7d742302f2feed530a4bcc620
- Realised P&L
- $-227.37
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $453.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C · G2 Esports | 0.530 | 0.525 | $453.87 | −$4.32 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.27 |
| Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A · JD Gaming | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$94.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.83at 0.442Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$0.00at 0.710Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
- +$-2.33at 0.860Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$-3.07at 0.6692026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
- +$-11.56at 0.532Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 13:45 | Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C | BUY | 0.53 | $458.19 |
| 10-02 13:43 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.63 | $40.09 |
| 10-02 13:40 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.363502256 | $91.84 |
| 10-02 13:40 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $97.67 |
| 10-02 13:39 | Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.4673021182 | $104.79 |
| 10-02 13:39 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.5048880261 | $145.64 |
| 10-02 10:51 | Valorant: T1 vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT Champions Group A | BUY | 0.14 | $94.99 |
| 10-02 10:49 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | SELL | 0.71 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 11:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6599999962 | $42.00 |
| 09-23 10:56 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.7099999971 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 10:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 10:54 | Will John Malkovich win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.3957814886 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 10:49 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.519999999 | $150.00 |
| 09-22 16:16 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.5452235378 | $98.27 |
| 09-22 14:43 | Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4299999999 | $96.43 |