0x43c275b1c3442684d4243649613768644af20aaf
- Realised P&L
- $2.20
- Volume
- $464.00
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $87.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.91at 0.790Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$2.25at 0.250Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
- +$1.24at 0.792Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.160US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
- +$0.05at 0.077Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 02:05 | Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.54 |
| 07-05 06:48 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.734 | $3.67 |
| 06-25 16:45 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $7.28 |
| 06-22 18:27 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.91 | $8.19 |
| 06-20 17:55 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 06-16 21:11 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $4.93 |
| 06-12 23:40 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 06-07 14:27 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.36 |
| 06-05 11:38 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 06-02 06:41 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.073 | $1.61 |
| 05-26 22:36 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 05-26 22:36 | Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 04-27 13:19 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $3.95 |
| 04-27 13:19 | Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 04-24 18:08 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.08 |