Nepomn10
0x43bf3331665f808049736a47b8e3a3b7e9c53a9f
- Realised P&L
- $114.37
- Volume
- $20.3k
- Markets traded
- 115
- Open portfolio
- $32.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded115
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? · No | 0.994 | 0.998 | $31.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.961 | 0.927 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.35at 0.570Ducks vs. Red Wings
- +$31.80at 0.040Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$8.92at 0.850Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4?
- +$5.32at 0.100Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
- +$1.13at 0.976Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.9935237485 | $31.00 |
| 10-04 07:08 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.9930765956 | $30.50 |
| 09-08 02:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on September 7? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 21:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.22 | $10.68 |
| 08-18 00:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.9739999856 | $47.30 |
| 08-16 12:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $47.20 |
| 08-16 12:31 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 01:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9737840691 | $45.10 |
| 08-03 06:28 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 4? | BUY | 0.789999998 | $35.82 |
| 08-02 02:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $36.00 |
| 07-30 01:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9869999998 | $34.50 |
| 07-29 02:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9809999996 | $34.00 |
| 07-27 04:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $33.70 |
| 07-26 03:05 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.9859999998 | $33.10 |
| 07-24 09:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 24? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.91 |