leslie89
0x43b58fcff8882da426c2bb92e1148b31256fe262
- Realised P&L
- $-16.66
- Volume
- $31.1k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $58.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $58.91 | −$0.03 |
| Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$0.18 |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.07 |
| Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.96at 0.963Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?
- +$0.63at 0.977Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$0.36at 0.981Will Bitcoin reach $150K in August?
- +$0.33at 0.995Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
- +$0.07at 0.999Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 12:27 | Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.94 |
| 10-05 14:04 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.996 | $59.76 |
| 09-11 03:57 | Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.997 | $59.82 |
| 09-11 03:56 | Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.25 |
| 09-03 16:02 | Will Getafe win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.74 |
| 09-03 16:02 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.36 |
| 09-03 16:01 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.997 | $59.82 |
| 08-27 14:58 | Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.998 | $59.88 |
| 08-27 14:57 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.14 |
| 08-07 12:09 | Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.99 |
| 08-07 12:09 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.997 | $61.81 |
| 07-23 15:03 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.998 | $61.88 |
| 07-11 04:57 | Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.28 |
| 07-07 15:33 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.26 |
| 07-07 15:32 | Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $59.40 |