cashout.guy
0x43b03904e898ac49fa82c5d7340921c8ea3e1402
- Realised P&L
- $-482.39
- Volume
- $18.9k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.78at 0.322Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 8°C on May 29?
- +$59.70at 0.254Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on June 3?
- +$45.47at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on May 29?
- +$38.12at 0.629Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$37.64at 0.572Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 10:14 | Will Yabloko win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.1267278 | $63.36 |
| 09-18 10:11 | Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8845694118 | $187.97 |
| 09-18 10:08 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.63 | $400.05 |
| 09-18 09:57 | Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.4137236 | $206.86 |
| 09-18 09:49 | Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8776713222 | $255.76 |
| 09-18 09:46 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.429254 | $214.63 |
| 09-18 09:40 | Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.48 | $38.77 |
| 09-18 09:37 | Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.8640294118 | $146.89 |
| 09-13 17:26 | Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.42 | $210.00 |
| 06-08 18:15 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.192 | $57.60 |
| 06-06 17:59 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BUY | 0.62 | $124.00 |
| 06-06 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.87 |
| 06-06 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.1274387097 | $3.95 |
| 06-06 09:34 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6? | SELL | 0.997 | $29.07 |
| 06-06 09:33 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 6? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.11 |