0x43ad8495cfddb80db4b41d09d357620605cc45d6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.51
- Volume
- $723.46
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $3.18 | −$4.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.04at 0.491Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 31?
- +$-0.22at 0.532Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-31 16:01 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.012 | $3.00 |
| 08-31 16:00 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.04 |
| 08-31 15:57 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.011999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 15:55 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0106127331 | $3.08 |
| 08-31 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 1? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-31 13:51 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.34 |
| 08-30 15:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |