jeffbyrne11
0x43ab003afaf0fcc815934078e701b4e494b8b6ff
- Realised P&L
- $-12.8k
- Volume
- $468.2k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $4.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.520 | 0.525 | $3.3k | +$31.00 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Eagles | 0.640 | 0.675 | $1.1k | +$58.09 |
| Spread: Bears (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.747 | 0.770 | $297.99 | +$9.01 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.5k |
| North Carolina vs. TCU · TCU | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$730.00 |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Nuggets | 0.756 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.600Lakers vs. Cavaliers
- +$2.6kat 0.468Lakers vs. Mavericks
- +$2.6kat 0.590Clippers vs. Pelicans
- +$2.5kat 0.510Raptors vs. Lakers
- +$2.3kat 0.427Pistons vs. Magic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 18:23 | Spread: Bears (-3.5) | BUY | 0.75 | $195.00 |
| 09-22 18:23 | Spread: Bears (-3.5) | BUY | 0.74 | $93.98 |
| 09-22 18:12 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.64 | $1.1k |
| 09-22 14:36 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $3.2k |
| 09-17 13:30 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | SELL | 0.45 | $941.40 |
| 09-17 00:46 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.45 | $941.40 |
| 09-09 00:22 | Spread: Michigan State (-16.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $850.65 |
| 09-05 17:35 | Ohio vs. Nebraska | BUY | 0.82 | $708.54 |
| 09-05 15:44 | The Citadel vs. Charlotte | SELL | 0.91 | $2.7k |
| 09-05 14:40 | The Citadel vs. Charlotte | BUY | 0.92 | $2.8k |
| 09-03 23:27 | UMass vs. Rutgers | BUY | 0.71692423 | $1.4k |
| 08-29 16:05 | North Carolina vs. TCU | BUY | 0.73 | $730.00 |
| 08-26 17:08 | Spread: Stanford (-3.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $951.35 |
| 07-15 18:58 | Jude Bellingham: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.76 | $3.0k |
| 07-14 18:57 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.56 | $2.2k |