0x43a81792e665746be75ec0458996b0c0915be9d9
0x43a81792e665746be75ec0458996b0c0915be9d9
- Realised P&L
- $-3.2k
- Volume
- $60.3k
- Markets traded
- 371
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded371
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.710 | 1.000 | $340.27 | +$98.68 |
| Spread: Texas State (-2.5) · Texas State | 0.520 | 1.000 | $200.00 | +$96.00 |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) · Patriots | 0.550 | 0.445 | $190.71 | −$45.00 |
| Packers vs. Buccaneers · Packers | 0.500 | 0.625 | $153.69 | +$30.74 |
| Jets vs. Bears · Jets | 0.410 | 0.375 | $132.75 | −$12.39 |
| Spread: Bengals (-3.5) · Buccaneers | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.11 |
| Spread: Cowboys (-4.5) · Commanders | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.90 |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Fresno State vs. USC · Fresno State | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.62 |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) · Spain | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.80 |
| Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) · Seahawks | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$105.96 |
| Jets vs. Lions · Jets | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.14 |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.332 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.25 |
| Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$561.40at 0.301Mississippi State vs. South Carolina
- +$233.93at 0.177Oregon vs. Oklahoma State
- +$211.20at 0.194Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
- +$192.36at 0.540Spread: Packers (-3.5)
- +$137.03at 0.260North Carolina vs. TCU
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 21:11 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 09-29 20:12 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.45 | $244.56 |
| 09-28 23:11 | Spread: Eagles (-2.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $141.60 |
| 09-28 00:09 | Bo Nix: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.18 | $23.81 |
| 09-28 00:09 | Bo Nix: Anytime Touchdown | BUY | 0.14 | $0.82 |
| 09-27 23:16 | Jets vs. Bears | BUY | 0.41 | $145.14 |
| 09-27 23:15 | Spread: Bills (-5.5) | BUY | 0.55 | $135.21 |
| 09-27 22:51 | Vikings vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.38 | $24.36 |
| 09-27 22:27 | Raiders vs. Saints | BUY | 0.19 | $25.91 |
| 09-27 16:39 | Spread: Ravens (-2.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $135.66 |
| 09-27 16:38 | Spread: Vikings (-1.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $105.96 |
| 09-27 16:38 | Texans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.53 | $110.90 |
| 09-27 16:37 | Spread: Seahawks (-7.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $105.96 |
| 09-27 14:04 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.62 | $78.73 |
| 09-27 13:58 | Panthers vs. Browns | BUY | 0.55 | $58.93 |