andycz
0x43a54354113127fc6aa8466d344aa7353ebb55e9
- Realised P&L
- $378.48
- Volume
- $57.5k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $863.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.351 | 0.205 | $788.27 | −$561.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.755 | $74.73 | +$25.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.450Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?
- +$782.05at 0.390Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
- +$233.67at 0.438Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
- +$117.37at 0.376Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
- +$77.67at 0.450Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 10:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April? | SELL | 0.13 | $52.78 |
| 04-08 03:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999997 | $750.00 |
| 04-07 18:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999997 | $600.00 |
| 03-31 13:33 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | SELL | 0.2858214286 | $549.81 |
| 03-23 14:43 | Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first? | BUY | 0.5198565194 | $1000.00 |
| 03-18 11:48 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | SELL | 0.42 | $43.88 |
| 03-16 22:04 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | SELL | 0.4052304954 | $1.2k |
| 03-07 19:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | SELL | 0.4063877756 | $519.14 |
| 03-01 15:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | BUY | 0.4695303129 | $599.80 |
| 02-03 18:14 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999983 | $117.37 |
| 02-03 17:42 | Ethereum flipped in 2026? | BUY | 0.3933136676 | $1000.00 |
| 02-02 21:22 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | SELL | 0.42 | $1.1k |
| 02-01 21:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999825 | $8.21 |
| 02-01 21:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4PM ET | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 01-31 22:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February? | BUY | 0.3758839205 | $1000.00 |