PatObeur
0x43a41fddd4e7a3cf859e59938c5846aabd030c73
- Realised P&L
- $242.55
- Volume
- $14.4k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.54at 0.650Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$99.24at 0.585 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$81.96at 0.265Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$68.89at 0.179Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 2?
- +$54.97at 0.154Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 10:44 | Multipli.fi FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3799999903 | $19.65 |
| 08-07 12:25 | Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7399999593 | $4.00 |
| 08-07 12:23 | TownSquare FDV above $175M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 12:23 | StripChain FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 08-07 12:18 | Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.7444052237 | $15.00 |
| 08-01 08:23 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 08:23 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:14 | Iran nuclear test before 2027? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 08:10 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.0579999894 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 08:08 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9487067851 | $46.98 |
| 07-08 15:02 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 07-07 10:05 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 07-06 16:07 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.7599999927 | $100.00 |
| 07-05 20:14 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999164 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 16:38 | Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |