david93
0x43a28ea1c0170ad4e991a90ebe0b657f28507f09
- Realised P&L
- $-13.89
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $21.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.21% in September? · No | 0.820 | 1.000 | $16.32 | +$2.94 |
| Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.825 | $4.94 | +$0.09 |
| Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Over/Under 5%? · Under | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.89at 0.609Bitcoin above $98,000 on December 6?
- +$17.59at 0.340Ethereum above $3,400 on December 27?
- +$4.71at 0.820Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?
- +$2.51at 0.999Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?
- +$0.67at 0.963Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:25 | Will XRP dip to $1.40 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.32 |
| 01-31 13:24 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.33 |
| 01-30 16:24 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.17 |
| 01-30 12:36 | Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.19 |
| 01-30 12:06 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9969999784 | $17.13 |
| 12-30 10:24 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.89 |
| 12-30 10:19 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999956 | $16.45 |
| 12-29 21:19 | Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.96 |
| 12-29 20:53 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $25.35 |
| 10-30 21:14 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.31 |
| 10-30 21:00 | Will Solana reach $240 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.10 |
| 09-29 10:34 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.48 |
| 09-29 04:03 | Will Trump meet with Pope Leo in September? | BUY | 0.997999981 | $17.88 |
| 09-29 00:43 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.9965533878 | $11.34 |
| 09-28 20:43 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.9629999986 | $17.43 |