0x439e9e3894de90a0E068fe707b9e11392CB710c6-1772438116275
0x439e9e3894de90a0e068fe707b9e11392cb710c6
- Realised P&L
- $-53.19
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $1.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.008 | $1.60 | +$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.97at 0.610Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$20.85at 0.590Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?
- +$15.59at 0.820Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
- +$12.36at 0.890Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?
- +$6.58at 0.095Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-19 15:23 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.8199999998 | $71.00 |
| 06-19 15:22 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.5899999992 | $30.00 |
| 06-19 15:22 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $100.00 |
| 06-19 15:22 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 04-11 10:01 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition? | SELL | 0.0336332658 | $5.31 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.018 | $1.04 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.02 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | BUY | 0.017 | $1.02 |
| 04-02 19:53 | KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30? | BUY | 0.0188429158 | $1.28 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.02 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Netanyahu out by April 30? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.02 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Will Germany strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.013 | $1.08 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.73 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April? | BUY | 0.0156693333 | $1.35 |
| 04-02 19:53 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.011 | $1.03 |