PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x439e9e3894de90a0E068fe707b9e11392CB710c6-1772438116275

0x439e9e3894de90a0e068fe707b9e11392cb710c6

Realised P&L
$-53.19
Volume
$11.1k
Markets traded
76
Open portfolio
$1.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded76
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0050.008$1.60+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 15:23Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.8199999998$71.00
06-19 15:22Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.5899999992$30.00
06-19 15:22Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.8899999996$100.00
06-19 15:22Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.6099999961$50.00
04-11 10:01Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?SELL0.0336332658$5.31
04-02 19:53Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.018$1.04
04-02 19:53Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?BUY0.017$1.02
04-02 19:53Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30?BUY0.017$1.02
04-02 19:53KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?BUY0.0188429158$1.28
04-02 19:53Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.015$1.02
04-02 19:53Netanyahu out by April 30?BUY0.015$1.02
04-02 19:53Will Germany strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.013$1.08
04-02 19:53Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?BUY0.014$0.73
04-02 19:53Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?BUY0.0156693333$1.35
04-02 19:53Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.011$1.03
Trader 0x439e9e3894de90a0E068fe707b9e11392CB710c6-1772438116275 · PolyBot