PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

robertcaldwell

0x439e01265ee45b7d3f6917f09200af2c75169d79

Realised P&L
$-6.86
Volume
$11.3k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$24.49

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? · Yes0.6900.585$24.49−$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 03:22Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 24?BUY0.7299999951$14.80
01-31 13:33Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$13.13
01-30 16:18Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of January?BUY0.9979999702$19.07
01-30 12:14Will Google have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.9979999994$23.70
01-30 12:08Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in January?BUY0.999$40.48
12-30 08:42Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.9989999837$12.78
12-29 21:17Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?BUY0.996$6.11
12-29 19:23Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025?BUY0.998$24.06
12-29 19:21Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$53.33
10-30 21:53Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?BUY0.995$23.82
10-30 19:16Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.997$25.06
10-30 17:35Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?BUY0.9979999952$28.41
09-29 17:45Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.99$15.01
09-29 14:25Lisa Cook arrested by September 30?BUY0.9969999953$15.28
09-29 05:29Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30?BUY0.9949999244$11.19