Danielsddf
0x43980e330206f16c31025727bcc0df3e30502257
- Realised P&L
- $-25.79
- Volume
- $8.6k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $30.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.785 | $21.98 | −$0.14 |
| Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss · Southern Miss | 0.330 | 0.325 | $8.13 | −$0.12 |
| Bears vs. Bengals · Bears | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.94 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.20 |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$485.55at 0.500Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
- +$476.28at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$117.03at 0.500Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 French Open?
- +$113.85at 0.500Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series?
- +$109.34at 0.500Will Esteban Ocon be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 06:47 | Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss | BUY | 0.33 | $8.25 |
| 10-16 06:45 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.79 | $22.12 |
| 09-08 07:53 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.98 |
| 09-08 07:52 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 09-04 06:04 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $20.98 |
| 09-04 06:03 | LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffs | BUY | 0.72 | $28.80 |
| 09-04 06:02 | Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 08-22 02:03 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $37.95 |
| 08-22 02:02 | Bears vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.54 | $32.94 |
| 08-22 02:00 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 08-22 01:59 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 08-05 11:19 | Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.67 | $25.86 |
| 07-21 06:00 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $40.96 |
| 07-21 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21? | BUY | 0.45 | $25.20 |
| 07-21 05:58 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.00 |