PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Danielsddf

0x43980e330206f16c31025727bcc0df3e30502257

Realised P&L
$-25.79
Volume
$8.6k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$30.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration73.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.7900.785$21.98−$0.14
Arkansas State vs. Southern Miss · Southern Miss0.3300.325$8.13−$0.12
Bears vs. Bengals · Bears0.5400.000$0.00−$32.94
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00−$25.20
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$23.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 06:47Arkansas State vs. Southern MissBUY0.33$8.25
10-16 06:45Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.79$22.12
09-08 07:53Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$20.98
09-08 07:52Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$21.00
09-04 06:04Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.998$20.98
09-04 06:03LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsBUY0.72$28.80
09-04 06:02Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.999$21.00
08-22 02:03Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.998$37.95
08-22 02:02Bears vs. BengalsBUY0.54$32.94
08-22 02:00Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$15.00
08-22 01:59Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.999$23.00
08-05 11:19Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?BUY0.67$25.86
07-21 06:00Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?SELL0.998$40.96
07-21 06:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on July 21?BUY0.45$25.20
07-21 05:58Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?BUY0.999$41.00