PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x4397b21519cb8204713ac19e8e3fa69ffa56f870

Realised P&L
$-12.53
Volume
$509.00
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$40.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration88.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.5000.895$9.85+$4.34
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.9100.958$8.62+$0.43
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.9000.935$6.54+$0.24
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · No0.8000.925$6.47+$0.88
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8710.873$4.37+$0.01
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2260.095$1.61$2.23
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2100.075$1.20$2.16
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.2080.127$0.89$0.57
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0770.029$0.43$0.72
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.5000.105$0.32$1.19
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.3800.075$0.15$0.61
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0740.005$0.12$1.44
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? · No0.6100.000$0.00$4.88
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? · No0.2500.000$0.00$1.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 03:00Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.077$1.16
06-13 16:05U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.91$8.19
06-11 15:41Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.17$1.02
06-08 07:56Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.22$1.32
06-06 01:54Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.9$6.30
06-03 18:31Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.871$8.71
06-01 03:20Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.23$2.53
05-26 20:56Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.33$3.63
05-22 05:02Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.69$3.45
05-22 05:01Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.31$1.55
04-24 20:18Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.8$11.20
04-24 20:18Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.21$4.62
04-24 20:18U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.81$4.05
04-24 20:18Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.208$2.50
04-19 20:11Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.064$1.41