0x7703C7D8FC87Ef575568e7A337484DAD971D636d-1773576821348
0x4392fc4fa943b9de0ee16bae18ffc939a1a3c312
- Realised P&L
- $-449.82
- Volume
- $25.3k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $958.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.719 | 0.395 | $383.46 | −$314.26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes | 0.366 | 0.545 | $297.87 | +$97.87 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.185 | $142.43 | −$7.57 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.617 | 0.555 | $134.85 | −$15.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET · Up | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$112.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up | 0.366 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$79.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.39at 0.843Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?
- +$114.77at 0.372Ethereum Up or Down - September 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
- +$105.76at 0.542Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
- +$94.77at 0.417Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
- +$83.57at 0.447Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | SELL | 0.03 | $16.73 |
| 09-28 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $67.00 |
| 09-28 14:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999984 | $67.00 |
| 09-28 14:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6333289352 | $150.00 |
| 09-28 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $27.11 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999989 | $67.00 |
| 09-28 14:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $149.96 |
| 09-28 14:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.46 | $112.70 |
| 09-28 14:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.6933748031 | $200.00 |
| 09-28 14:15 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.7294425985 | $497.72 |
| 09-28 14:14 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.2148322074 | $334.23 |
| 09-28 14:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.7863377376 | $358.27 |
| 09-28 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $45.00 |
| 09-28 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.48 | $45.00 |
| 09-28 14:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6779661017 | $150.00 |