PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x438d61e858bE1E3726D1fF177cfD91f3aF51CE57-1761558655947

0x438d61e858be1e3726d1ff177cfd91f3af51ce57

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$281.3k
Markets traded
2,855
Open portfolio
$3.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,855
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.2190.005$3.75$160.60
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 14-20? · Yes0.6710.005$0.23$28.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7AM ET · Down0.6520.000$0.00$65.22
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 5AM ET · Up0.2470.000$0.00$10.06
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 7? · No0.5700.000$0.00$5.70
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 14? · Yes0.2610.000$0.00$129.24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 5? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$10.25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9PM ET · Up0.5900.000$0.00$11.80
Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 6AM ET · Down0.2230.000$0.00$6.70
Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No0.9170.000$0.00$115.99
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 3? · Yes0.1890.000$0.00$141.84
Will Solana reach $100 on September 16? · No0.6730.000$0.00$35.08
Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 3PM ET · Up0.2790.000$0.00$19.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 15? · No0.7920.000$0.00$250.00
Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 7AM ET · Up0.2400.000$0.00$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 15:12Solana Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ETBUY0.16$2.40
09-18 15:12Solana Up or Down - September 18, 11AM ETBUY0.15$2.25
09-18 13:31Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.66$8.25
09-18 13:30Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.63$4.41
09-18 13:30Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.63$6.93
09-18 13:30Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.63$6.93
09-18 13:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.66$7.59
09-18 13:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.68$7.48
09-18 13:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.67$6.70
09-18 13:29Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9AM ETBUY0.65$7.15
09-18 10:27Solana Up or Down - September 18, 6AM ETBUY0.59$7.08
09-18 10:27Solana Up or Down - September 18, 6AM ETBUY0.59$5.90
09-18 10:27Solana Up or Down - September 18, 6AM ETBUY0.59$7.67
09-18 03:55Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 14-20?SELL0.962985254$293.22
09-18 03:54Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 19?SELL0.47$42.42