PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MR.CENT

0x438b7f5dd8d5efd2a6c1550b8dcf40d9a23db4b4

Realised P&L
$-409.12
Volume
$269.9k
Markets traded
31
Open portfolio
$19.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded31
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0020.002$19.03+$0.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$9.99
Maduro out by November 30, 2025? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9PM ET · Up0.0560.000$0.00$9.00
US strike on Mexico by January 31? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$9.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$0.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-12 05:29Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.012$8.47
04-22 07:06Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.0140003152$46.20
04-22 07:06Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.016$2.43
01-12 03:18Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.006$4.00
11-16 01:22Maduro out by November 30, 2025?BUY0.0899999919$10.00
09-17 17:23No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?SELL0.027$85.98
09-16 04:28No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?BUY0.0219999997$70.06
07-02 21:45Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? SELL0.001$1.00
06-27 01:08Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? SELL0.007$10.50
03-19 14:37No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?BUY0.01$9.92
02-25 00:53Will Dogecoin dip to $0.20 by February 28 2025?SELL0.61$2.44
02-25 00:28Will Dogecoin dip to $0.20 by February 28 2025?SELL0.34$17.00
02-25 00:28Will Dogecoin dip to $0.15 by February 28 2025?SELL0.034$2.75
01-29 19:00No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?SELL0.001$1.12
01-17 14:29Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?SELL0.002$2.14