MR.CENT
0x438b7f5dd8d5efd2a6c1550b8dcf40d9a23db4b4
- Realised P&L
- $-409.12
- Volume
- $269.9k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $19.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $19.03 | +$0.00 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.99 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 9PM ET · Up | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| US strike on Mexico by January 31? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 9PM ET · Up | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.09at 0.050Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December?
- +$8.32at 0.090Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in December?
- +$1.61at 0.100Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$1.50at 0.005Dogecoin above $0.36 on January 10?
- +$1.50at 0.004Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-12 05:29 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.012 | $8.47 |
| 04-22 07:06 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.0140003152 | $46.20 |
| 04-22 07:06 | Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.016 | $2.43 |
| 01-12 03:18 | Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $4.00 |
| 11-16 01:22 | Maduro out by November 30, 2025? | BUY | 0.0899999919 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 17:23 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.027 | $85.98 |
| 09-16 04:28 | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0219999997 | $70.06 |
| 07-02 21:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 01:08 | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | SELL | 0.007 | $10.50 |
| 03-19 14:37 | No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.92 |
| 02-25 00:53 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.20 by February 28 2025? | SELL | 0.61 | $2.44 |
| 02-25 00:28 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.20 by February 28 2025? | SELL | 0.34 | $17.00 |
| 02-25 00:28 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.15 by February 28 2025? | SELL | 0.034 | $2.75 |
| 01-29 19:00 | No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.12 |
| 01-17 14:29 | Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $2.14 |