PolyBot

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Traders

Jormungandalf

0x438795da8f159379fffa70f2b545256c6823afb3

Realised P&L
$-831.49
Volume
$127.9k
Markets traded
6,629
Open portfolio
$69.58

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,629
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 14? · Yes0.3701.000$13.50+$8.50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14? · No0.5541.000$9.01+$4.01
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15? · No0.4000.685$8.56+$3.56
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 15? · Yes0.5500.930$8.45+$3.45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 15? · No0.6501.000$7.68+$2.69
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15? · Yes0.3190.420$6.59+$1.59
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 15? · No0.4700.560$5.95+$0.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15? · No0.4100.435$3.95+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 15? · No0.3100.485$3.51+$1.27
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 15? · No0.4300.585$1.03+$0.27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 15? · Yes0.1500.020$0.66−$4.28
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 15? · No0.4700.285$0.56−$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 14? · Yes0.0800.001$0.03−$4.97
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 14? · Yes0.1000.001$0.02−$4.97
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on October 14? · Yes0.1600.001$0.02−$4.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 03:27Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15?BUY0.4$5.00
10-15 03:23Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15?BUY0.3187250996$5.00
10-14 15:16Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14?BUY0.5544554049$5.00
10-14 14:16Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14?BUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-14 06:28Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?BUY0.25$5.00
10-14 05:27Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 14?BUY0.1132433064$5.00
10-14 02:26Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-13 10:20Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13?BUY0.1099999987$5.00
10-13 09:16Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.3683644486$5.00
10-13 03:22Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 13?BUY0.1287128708$5.00
10-13 02:25Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13?BUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-13 02:25Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13?BUY0.4399999754$5.00
10-13 00:26Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13?BUY0.39$1.95
10-12 20:54Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12?SELL0.835$13.42
10-12 17:24Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12?BUY0.1650716846$3.68