Jormungandalf
0x438795da8f159379fffa70f2b545256c6823afb3
- Realised P&L
- $-831.49
- Volume
- $127.9k
- Markets traded
- 6,629
- Open portfolio
- $69.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,629
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.65at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on September 26?
- +$72.21at 0.116Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 26?
- +$66.42at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on August 29?
- +$57.80at 0.070Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 9?
- +$57.50at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.3187250996 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.5544554049 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 14? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1132433064 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 02:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 10:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.1099999987 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.3683644486 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 03:22 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.1287128708 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.4399999754 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 10-12 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on October 12? | SELL | 0.835 | $13.42 |
| 10-12 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1650716846 | $3.68 |