PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x43865b5b8d9cE7E2F915706A99572D89df20A633-1773264987954

0x43865b5b8d9ce7e2f915706a99572d89df20a633

Realised P&L
$650.38
Volume
$53.8k
Markets traded
284
Open portfolio
$347.84

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded284
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0270.024$86.95−$12.94
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.145$48.28−$1.66
Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.4500.455$45.50+$0.50
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.135$44.95−$4.99
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.4200.425$42.50+$0.50
Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26? · Yes0.3300.325$32.50−$0.50
Will Albania vs. Belarus end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.245$24.50−$0.50
Will United States vs. Peru end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.225$22.50−$0.50
Will Martinique win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.1210.001$0.15−$36.86
Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$19.00
Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00−$52.00
Will India win on 2026-09-25? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 04:57Will Scotland win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.33$33.00
09-26 04:55Will United States vs. Peru end in a draw?BUY0.23$23.00
09-26 04:54Will Albania vs. Belarus end in a draw?BUY0.25$25.00
09-26 04:54Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.45$45.00
09-26 04:52Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-26?BUY0.42$42.00
09-26 03:20Will Martinique win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.04$4.00
09-26 00:15Will Jamaica win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.31$31.00
09-25 20:50Will Suriname win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.16$15.68
09-25 20:50Will Martinique win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.2$16.40
09-25 14:17Will India win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.08$8.00
09-25 03:42Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24?SELL0.7746091536$232.37
09-24 23:05Will Poland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?BUY0.25$25.00
09-24 23:05Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw?BUY0.3$30.00
09-24 22:53Will Türkiye vs. France end in a draw?BUY0.19$19.00
09-24 22:51Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25?BUY0.52$52.00