poor43y
0x437e784e2d02e07e823d87f796c4914cfc86eb79
- Realised P&L
- $195.28
- Volume
- $62.9k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $19.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No | 0.996 | 0.991 | $12.43 | −$0.07 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No | 0.989 | 0.990 | $5.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.963 | 0.887 | $1.84 | −$0.16 |
| Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons | 0.900 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$209.10at 0.490Canucks vs. Predators
- +$3.81at 0.840Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$1.49at 0.979 Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.45at 0.918Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?
- +$0.39at 0.985Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 07:35 | Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.50 |
| 10-07 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9779999961 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 02:17 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999851 | $2.00 |
| 10-07 02:17 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.9939999677 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 03:51 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9909999985 | $4.50 |
| 09-15 03:51 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9699999935 | $3.00 |
| 08-22 04:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August? | BUY | 0.9959999637 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 23? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.50 |
| 08-08 03:24 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.9769999948 | $1.50 |
| 08-08 03:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9949999254 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.98 | $6.00 |
| 07-31 07:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 13:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 25? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 14:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 07-05 14:26 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9939999662 | $8.00 |