PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

poor43y

0x437e784e2d02e07e823d87f796c4914cfc86eb79

Realised P&L
$195.28
Volume
$62.9k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$19.28

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration97.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25? · No0.9960.991$12.43−$0.07
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.9890.990$5.00+$0.00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9630.887$1.84−$0.16
Nets vs. Pistons · Pistons0.9000.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 07:35Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 October 19-25?BUY0.996$12.50
10-07 02:18Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 8?BUY0.9779999961$3.00
10-07 02:17Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.9629999851$2.00
10-07 02:17Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?BUY0.9939999677$20.00
09-15 03:51Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?BUY0.9909999985$4.50
09-15 03:51Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.9699999935$3.00
08-22 04:55Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in August?BUY0.9959999637$10.00
08-22 04:54Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 23?BUY0.98$3.50
08-08 03:24Golden State Valkyries vs. Dallas WingsBUY0.9769999948$1.50
08-08 03:23Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.9949999254$10.00
08-08 03:23Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 9?BUY0.98$6.00
07-31 07:52Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 1?BUY0.99$3.00
07-24 13:07Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 25?BUY0.996$10.00
07-05 14:27Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?BUY0.9929999996$10.00
07-05 14:26Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9939999662$8.00