PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x437b8749ebbc7dda4d64079d27573b32ab441d11

Realised P&L
$10.7k
Volume
$276.6k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$5.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration97.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0980.080$5.7k$1.3k
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes0.5700.565$135.91$1.20
Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? · Yes0.7300.715$2.94$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:21Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.57$127.11
09-15 21:33Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.53$81.51
09-15 21:14Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5699999886$10.00
09-15 20:52Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.999$1.42
09-15 20:51Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?SELL0.999$899.10
09-14 12:03Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.7$631.00
09-13 21:01Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.999$0.56
09-13 21:00Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.999$644.36
09-13 16:20Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.79$510.00
09-13 16:15Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13?SELL0.999$517.48
09-12 20:59Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.999$0.76
09-12 20:58Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?SELL0.999$446.55
09-11 17:05Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.6699999993$300.00
09-11 17:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.17$323.76
09-11 05:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3899999992$77.45