0x52674395D7352039a4f3bbd95cDAC3C835a49Aa6-1774431015313
0x437841f11f0989e58df0020a66e18ecc7a81b236
- Realised P&L
- $-7.26
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $277.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.697 | 0.660 | $133.03 | −$7.48 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes | 0.321 | 0.195 | $90.31 | −$58.54 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? · Yes | 0.481 | 0.270 | $54.20 | −$42.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.29at 0.591Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
- +$-36.55at 0.073Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:10 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $10.68 |
| 10-18 16:08 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.0317330751 | $11.22 |
| 10-15 22:21 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.64 | $21.76 |
| 10-15 22:19 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | SELL | 0.038 | $22.82 |
| 09-18 17:32 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $58.79 |
| 09-18 17:31 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $41.20 |
| 09-18 17:30 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $98.75 |
| 08-17 14:39 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $111.47 |
| 08-17 14:36 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $37.65 |
| 08-17 14:35 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $90.06 |
| 06-17 00:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.0699999991 | $66.81 |
| 06-17 00:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4699999929 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 00:58 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5812807879 | $80.00 |