0x4373eda912d2ff40528ac935a0b9c8fb43486d1c
0x4373eda912d2ff40528ac935a0b9c8fb43486d1c
- Realised P&L
- $143.75
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 148
- Open portfolio
- $123.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded148
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SS Arezzo vs. US Cremonese end in a draw? · Yes | 0.660 | 1.000 | $91.36 | +$31.03 |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.301 | 0.960 | $31.73 | +$21.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.25at 0.505Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$66.01at 0.480Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$51.54at 0.485Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$45.11at 0.535Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$45.10at 0.508Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 19:06 | Will SS Arezzo vs. US Cremonese end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6599999993 | $60.33 |
| 10-09 17:31 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7199999988 | $49.96 |
| 10-06 17:57 | Villena: Francesco Maestrelli vs Oliver Tarvet | BUY | 0.64 | $53.17 |
| 10-05 17:31 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.6699999986 | $69.58 |
| 10-04 14:51 | Will Germany win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.54 | $44.82 |
| 10-03 17:40 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.6099999975 | $61.42 |
| 10-02 17:41 | Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.6599999956 | $48.19 |
| 10-01 08:53 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4899999978 | $70.52 |
| 09-30 18:04 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-30? | BUY | 0.7099999985 | $50.77 |
| 09-29 16:17 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.7699999986 | $43.50 |
| 09-27 18:02 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.5199999988 | $50.45 |
| 09-26 12:23 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4699999962 | $47.02 |
| 09-25 17:32 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7399999995 | $60.16 |
| 09-23 17:25 | Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23? | BUY | 0.8799999995 | $140.10 |
| 09-22 17:30 | Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.7299999986 | $100.71 |