kostastar
0x436ef926fcb726a1ba0d4dfd045bee8fb5307d94
- Realised P&L
- $32.46
- Volume
- $42.3k
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $46.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 15? · No | 0.988 | 1.000 | $15.57 | +$0.18 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 15? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.998 | $15.48 | +$0.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.999 | $15.46 | +$0.07 |
| Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 14, 11PM ET? · No | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 14, 11PM ET? · No | 0.810 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 15, 12AM ET? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin above 82,800 on October 14, 9AM ET? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
| Bitcoin above 83,200 on October 7, 10AM ET? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.33 |
| Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 14, 11PM ET? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.23at 0.566Bitcoin above 83,600 on October 7, 8AM ET?
- +$1.27at 0.607Bitcoin above 83,600 on October 7, 1PM ET?
- +$1.16at 0.897Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 14, 12PM ET?
- +$1.13at 0.617Bitcoin above 83,400 on October 7, 10AM ET?
- +$1.02at 0.830Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 14, 11PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 04:02 | Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 15, 1AM ET? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 04:01 | Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 15, 1AM ET? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.95 |
| 10-15 03:02 | Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 15, 12AM ET? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 03:02 | Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 15, 12AM ET? | BUY | 0.89 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 03:02 | Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 15, 12AM ET? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 03:01 | Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 15, 12AM ET? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 03:01 | Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 15, 12AM ET? | BUY | 0.83 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 02:38 | Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 02:34 | Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.85 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 02:31 | Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.77 | $4.94 |
| 10-15 02:30 | Bitcoin above 79,800 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 02:30 | Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.81 | $5.00 |
| 10-15 02:29 | Bitcoin above 80,000 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.77 |
| 10-15 02:26 | Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.94 |
| 10-15 02:19 | Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 14, 11PM ET? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.94 |