PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kostastar

0x436ef926fcb726a1ba0d4dfd045bee8fb5307d94

Realised P&L
$32.46
Volume
$42.3k
Markets traded
299
Open portfolio
$46.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded299
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 15? · No0.9881.000$15.57+$0.18
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 15? · Yes0.9920.998$15.48+$0.09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 15? · Yes0.9940.999$15.46+$0.07
Bitcoin above 81,400 on October 14, 11PM ET? · No0.8000.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 14, 11PM ET? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 15, 12AM ET? · Yes0.8300.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin above 82,800 on October 14, 9AM ET? · Yes0.9400.000$0.00−$12.80
Bitcoin above 83,200 on October 7, 10AM ET? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00−$1.33
Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 14, 11PM ET? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$4.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 04:02Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 15, 1AM ET?BUY0.9$5.00
10-15 04:01Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 15, 1AM ET?BUY0.93$4.95
10-15 03:02Bitcoin above 81,800 on October 15, 12AM ET?BUY0.91$5.00
10-15 03:02Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 15, 12AM ET?BUY0.89$5.00
10-15 03:02Bitcoin above 81,600 on October 15, 12AM ET?BUY0.83$5.00
10-15 03:01Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 15, 12AM ET?BUY0.91$5.00
10-15 03:01Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 15, 12AM ET?BUY0.83$5.00
10-15 02:38Bitcoin above 80,800 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.91$5.00
10-15 02:34Bitcoin above 80,600 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.85$5.00
10-15 02:31Bitcoin above 81,000 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.77$4.94
10-15 02:30Bitcoin above 79,800 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.95$5.00
10-15 02:30Bitcoin above 81,200 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.81$5.00
10-15 02:29Bitcoin above 80,000 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.84$4.77
10-15 02:26Bitcoin above 80,400 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.82$4.94
10-15 02:19Bitcoin above 82,000 on October 14, 11PM ET?BUY0.94$4.94