PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dicipline

0x436cd0bef4be95ac6207decea1e1b147c472c63b

Realised P&L
$-31.87
Volume
$12.9k
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$296.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.345$248.40+$46.80
Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5670.135$47.61$152.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 13? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$3.50
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 16:34Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 27?BUY0.997$99.69
06-24 16:33Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 27?BUY0.998$166.72
06-24 16:32Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 22-28?BUY0.996$20.02
06-24 16:31Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?BUY0.996$99.60
06-24 16:31Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?BUY0.996$18.03
05-02 17:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 3?BUY0.999$100.00
05-02 17:06Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?SELL0.8461474358$507.68
05-02 17:05Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 2?SELL0.999$1.1k
04-30 11:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 2?BUY0.999$1.1k
01-04 21:19Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?BUY0.959$947.95
01-04 21:07Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5671641782$200.00
12-24 16:44Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.9919999995$1.1k
12-19 09:32Lighter Airdrop on December 20?BUY0.9953633426$1.1k
11-28 20:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?BUY0.998$1.1k
11-20 21:20Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?SELL0.0762385517$55.27