PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x436b9530e9ff4ce3cdff8119fc7e5afe50d7765c

Realised P&L
$-812.73
Volume
$80.2k
Markets traded
1,705
Open portfolio
$43.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,705
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.6900.455$13.19$6.81
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.6000.355$8.88$6.13
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.4700.280$5.96$4.04
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9000.977$5.42+$0.42
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.5480.840$4.29+$1.49
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2800.185$3.30$1.70
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.3050.406$1.33+$0.33
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · Yes0.0900.025$0.68$1.82
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms? · Yes0.9300.040$0.08$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 08:52Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsBUY0.262526813$4.89
06-17 15:09Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.77$1.00
06-17 15:09Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.33$3.41
06-17 14:49Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?BUY0.7699999963$33.41
06-17 09:12World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. RonaldoBUY0.1399999945$19.49
06-16 18:10Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.67$10.00
06-16 18:07Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.67$3.99
06-15 22:50Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?SELL0.41$3.00
06-15 22:48Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.4$2.93
06-15 19:49Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?BUY0.43$2.50
06-15 14:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.964$22.50
06-15 14:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?SELL0.932$22.63
06-14 19:47O/U 1.5 RoundsBUY0.5$9.85
06-14 19:47O/U 0.5 RoundsBUY0.3299999394$1.96
06-14 17:11Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?BUY0.0170000004$1.00