0x436A2c7aE900626dB7096233E6D324bB4A7f67e8-1771344092592
0x436a2c7ae900626db7096233e6d324bb4a7f67e8
- Realised P&L
- $-134.19
- Volume
- $9.6k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $9.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.215 | $9.68 | −$3.62 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.20 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.92 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.79at 0.500Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
- +$67.39at 0.577Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$11.00at 0.300Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?
- +$9.07at 0.175Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.45at 0.756Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 12:07 | Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.50 |
| 10-10 12:07 | Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.19 |
| 08-25 12:39 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.1 | $23.08 |
| 08-25 12:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999988 | $25.00 |
| 08-25 12:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | SELL | 0.4737580679 | $22.75 |
| 08-25 11:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.5204282784 | $25.00 |
| 08-25 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | SELL | 0.93 | $25.27 |
| 08-25 11:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999985 | $25.00 |
| 08-23 17:31 | Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 08-23 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.0388 | $2.43 |
| 08-23 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $25.00 |
| 08-23 17:18 | Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.31 | $3.10 |
| 08-23 17:10 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.57 |
| 08-23 16:45 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.35 | $26.11 |
| 08-23 15:47 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999832 | $9.00 |