PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dragon8000

0x43675cdb2bf7f10934dfea7f3252c3354a0e1933

Realised P&L
$-263.35
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$50.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)81.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3300.470$31.49+$9.38
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4270.085$14.00−$56.37
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5000.110$5.50−$19.50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards? · Yes0.7600.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 20:28Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.43$4.38
09-10 11:07Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.329999967$1.50
09-03 08:55Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.066$0.24
08-27 10:39Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?BUY0.9939998171$5.00
04-05 07:34US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.999$17.68
03-13 21:10Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality during week of March 2, 2026?BUY0.999$17.00
03-13 20:47Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1539998814$1.00
03-13 20:43Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.2219998521$1.00
03-13 20:43Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?BUY0.479999952$2.00
03-13 20:42Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
03-13 20:30Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?BUY0.7599998024$2.00
02-28 19:42Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.042$14.20
02-28 19:17Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.3769112436$127.40
01-05 11:32Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.4899999506$2.18
01-05 11:29Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.48$89.69