RBax
0x4366ab8b8b27e4139d94a532e3cec94a83d1c73e
- Realised P&L
- $87.0k
- Volume
- $2.88M
- Markets traded
- 520
- Open portfolio
- $24.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded520
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.433 | $8.7k | +$1.1k |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.980 | $6.5k | +$71.55 |
| Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.094 | $3.1k | +$3.0k |
| Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? · No | 0.975 | 0.993 | $3.1k | +$54.30 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.051 | $1.5k | +$79.06 |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.027 | $1.3k | +$650.25 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.050 | $570.67 | +$79.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.8kat 0.201Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.2kat 0.423East Texas A&M Lions vs. Incarnate Word Cardinals: O/U 141.5
- +$7.2kat 0.470Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 130.5
- +$7.0kat 0.650Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
- +$6.8kat 0.513Maryland Terrapins vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 145.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 20:22 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $182.36 |
| 10-29 23:46 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.974 | $194.90 |
| 10-29 23:44 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.973 | $394.16 |
| 10-29 23:44 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $532.43 |
| 10-29 23:42 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $210.02 |
| 10-26 14:42 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.976 | $1.0k |
| 10-22 10:27 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $684.53 |
| 10-18 18:07 | Will OGC Nice win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.6k |
| 10-17 07:49 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.38 | $26.22 |
| 10-14 07:35 | LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.59 | $2.4k |
| 10-11 12:21 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | SELL | 0.59 | $120.66 |
| 10-11 12:11 | Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $350.55 |
| 10-05 16:32 | Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 10-05 16:31 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.48 | $48.00 |
| 10-05 16:29 | Falcons vs. Saints | BUY | 0.53 | $54.06 |