iridescent7
0x436550164f720833dd793710f570f2d7f3f7b6fc
- Realised P&L
- $72.93
- Volume
- $336.84
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $12.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar21.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.979 | 0.981 | $2.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.936 | 0.955 | $2.33 | +$0.05 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · No | 0.989 | 0.983 | $2.32 | −$0.02 |
| Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.018 | $1.89 | +$0.70 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · No | 0.037 | 0.033 | $1.56 | −$0.22 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.014 | $1.27 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.84at 0.036US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?
- +$0.07at 0.975Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 24-30?
- +$0.03at 0.986Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6?
- +$0.03at 0.977Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6?
- +$0.02at 0.980Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 20:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.0209999999 | $1.90 |
| 09-15 20:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9789997973 | $2.98 |
| 09-15 20:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.0369999993 | $1.78 |
| 09-15 20:17 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.989 | $2.34 |
| 09-08 23:12 | Will United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.0109999999 | $1.19 |
| 09-08 23:09 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9359997832 | $2.28 |
| 09-02 22:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.9779999963 | $1.06 |
| 09-02 22:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.06 |
| 09-02 22:11 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 6? | BUY | 0.985 | $1.88 |
| 08-28 22:45 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.0359999875 | $2.72 |
| 08-28 22:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.9729999903 | $2.52 |