gdastws4tsdf4
0x4358698ad6f1083a0a5af9749952fdd552072bb3
- Realised P&L
- $291.21
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $1.17 | −$3.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.00at 0.550Netflix (NFLX) Up or Down on February 3?
- +$20.32at 0.527Solana Up or Down - May 25, 4AM ET
- +$1.63at 0.992Will Reinier de Ridder be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?
- +$0.18at 0.994Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 05:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 12? | BUY | 0.9989999562 | $13.40 |
| 08-12 05:32 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.50 |
| 08-11 05:29 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.60 |
| 08-11 05:25 | Will XRP dip to $0.85 on August 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.60 |
| 08-10 06:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.60 |
| 08-10 06:24 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 10? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.90 |
| 08-06 06:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9979999637 | $13.60 |
| 08-06 06:20 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9959999926 | $33.60 |
| 07-31 06:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.50 |
| 07-31 06:11 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $33.60 |
| 07-30 06:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.40 |
| 07-30 06:46 | Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9969999822 | $33.50 |
| 07-29 05:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.9929999378 | $13.50 |
| 07-29 05:26 | Will XRP reach $1.30 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.40 |
| 07-27 07:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 27? | BUY | 0.9989999715 | $13.60 |