chetrik
0x4356f2ebcd52dbc82e03e0fa8be87b1b5890181d
- Realised P&L
- $-2.5k
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $272.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the IL-03 House seat? · No | 0.982 | 0.981 | $54.94 | −$0.06 |
| China coup attempt before 2027? · No | 0.969 | 0.947 | $54.93 | −$1.28 |
| Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? · No | 0.982 | 0.954 | $53.42 | −$1.57 |
| Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? · No | 0.940 | 0.925 | $48.76 | −$0.76 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.975 | 0.703 | $34.00 | −$13.19 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat? · No | 0.975 | 0.963 | $26.05 | −$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$920.79at 0.610Pacers vs. Knicks
- +$392.73at 0.610Padres vs. Dodgers
- +$3.27at 0.929Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 17?
- +$2.67at 0.942Will Min Woo Lee win the 2026 PGA Championship?
- +$1.15at 0.975Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 12:10 | Blue Jays vs. Pirates | BUY | 0.6 | $300.00 |
| 08-15 10:23 | Padres vs. Dodgers | BUY | 0.61 | $614.27 |
| 05-29 06:44 | Pacers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.61 | $1.4k |
| 03-21 13:08 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | SELL | 0.23 | $42.16 |
| 03-18 06:25 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.5399999984 | $98.98 |
| 03-18 06:21 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | SELL | 0.52 | $98.98 |
| 03-17 13:07 | Bitcoin above $83,000 on March 21? | BUY | 0.5199999998 | $98.98 |