kozyrv
0x43544b151269b7b3efc8bb4ae310aee78230593c
- Realised P&L
- $-101.67
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.60
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.160 | $1.60 | −$3.09 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.141 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.71 |
| Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.50 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.16at 0.425Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
- +$6.25at 0.643Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 14:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999719 | $4.69 |
| 10-14 14:57 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.1415094313 | $5.00 |
| 01-30 08:52 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | SELL | 0.964 | $18.76 |
| 01-29 07:29 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of January? | BUY | 0.1484415952 | $20.00 |
| 01-26 21:03 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.656 | $6.56 |
| 01-26 21:02 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | BUY | 0.629 | $5.95 |
| 12-29 21:27 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $19.20 |
| 12-25 15:38 | Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.4247212176 | $19.31 |
| 12-25 08:35 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 12-24 20:25 | Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.15 | $22.50 |
| 12-07 18:45 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |