avmsh
0x4352fcdf18036c3ce58f6cac802a49e7ddbdc794
- Realised P&L
- $-194.51
- Volume
- $45.9k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $30.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.19at 0.126Will Anthropic have closed its next funding round by June 30, 2026?
- +$60.08at 0.007Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$29.72at 0.029Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$29.30at 0.120Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$21.46at 0.132Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 70m and 80m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 12:37 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $8.13 |
| 07-21 12:36 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.03 | $29.98 |
| 07-10 16:22 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 12:55 | Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0248905562 | $20.00 |
| 06-07 14:54 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | SELL | 0.21 | $10.15 |
| 06-07 13:40 | Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-06 14:21 | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-06 13:45 | Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 18:38 | Will Meta (META) close above $620 on June 4? | BUY | 0.0679999383 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 18:37 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on June 4? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 18:35 | Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $420 on June 4? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 18:35 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on June 4? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 18:35 | Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $430 on June 4? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 18:34 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on June 4? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-04 18:33 | Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on June 4? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |