IFZ
0x435147edf1d6192eac1546c1be8f9776ae429060
- Realised P&L
- $422.27
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 255
- Open portfolio
- $225.08
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded255
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$57.69at 0.080Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?
- +$48.95at 0.020Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?
- +$45.06at 0.020Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
- +$45.00at 0.100US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 15?
- +$28.58at 0.377Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 21:45 | Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | SELL | 0.107 | $9.28 |
| 10-26 17:05 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $74.00 |
| 10-20 16:56 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | SELL | 0.61 | $30.50 |
| 10-19 11:13 | Curfew in a major French city by October 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.368 | $18.40 |
| 10-18 15:47 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? | SELL | 0.0259765625 | $0.13 |
| 10-15 00:34 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | SELL | 0.032 | $1.60 |
| 10-15 00:33 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 10-15 00:32 | Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? | SELL | 0.021 | $2.35 |
| 10-15 00:31 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $6.00 |
| 10-13 22:40 | Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $27.50 |
| 10-13 22:10 | Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 10-12 12:17 | Will Iran target Iraq by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.30 |
| 10-11 00:51 | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 10-06 02:05 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | SELL | 0.093 | $9.30 |
| 10-06 02:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.39 | $39.00 |