hamptonchelsea
0x4349911f06e49d265de17bfefc1bdae6cb4859d4
- Realised P&L
- $28.98
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $83.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? · No | 0.820 | 0.835 | $31.27 | +$0.56 |
| Bulls vs. Raptors · Raptors | 0.770 | 0.775 | $26.66 | +$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 20? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.435 | $25.45 | −$4.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.67at 0.540Will the Boston Celtics win the Eastern Conference?
- +$17.17at 0.569Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 23?
- +$10.10at 0.730Korea Open: So-Hyun Park vs Robin Montgomery
- +$8.09at 0.780Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$7.96at 0.670Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 19:48 | Will Marie Morell be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland? | BUY | 0.8199999968 | $30.71 |
| 01-31 13:28 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.16 |
| 01-30 17:04 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.25 |
| 01-30 17:03 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9969999941 | $7.75 |
| 01-30 12:26 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $9.74 |
| 01-30 12:03 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.31 |
| 01-30 11:51 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.87 |
| 12-30 12:47 | Will Trump pardon Bob Menendez in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999841 | $10.19 |
| 12-30 10:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9959999968 | $16.12 |
| 12-30 01:47 | Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.15 |
| 12-30 01:04 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $11.87 |
| 12-30 00:01 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999739 | $14.13 |
| 12-29 20:03 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999612 | $22.24 |
| 10-31 16:20 | Will Solana dip to $150 in October? | BUY | 0.9989999892 | $24.71 |
| 10-31 15:33 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.95 |