speraro
0x4343d4b45ed852df2dad7cdb583baab30b85ac47
- Realised P&L
- $19.98
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $492.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Ak Bars Kazan · Ak Bars Kazan | 0.480 | 1.000 | $492.91 | +$256.20 |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs · TEAM VISION | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival · 1win | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.60 |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A · Natus Vincere | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox · Washington Nationals | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.48 |
| KHL: SKA St. Petersburg vs. CSKA Moscow · CSKA Moscow | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$261.00 |
| KHL: Traktor vs. Ak Bars Kazan · Traktor | 0.529 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.63 |
| KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Avangard Omsk · Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 0.545 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.94 |
| Canadiens vs. Blue Jackets · Canadiens | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Jets vs. Kraken · Jets | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Oilers vs. Stars · Oilers | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals · Washington Nationals | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.48 |
| KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Avangard Omsk · Severstal Cherepovets | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$163.00 |
| KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. HC Dynamo Moscow · HC Dynamo Moscow | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.80 |
| KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. HC Dynamo Moscow · Severstal Cherepovets | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$306.20at 0.460KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. Avangard Omsk
- +$262.50at 0.498KHL: Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk vs. SKA St. Petersburg
- +$213.75at 0.539KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. HC Dynamo Moscow
- +$209.03at 0.560KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
- +$201.05at 0.565KHL: Traktor vs. Severstal Cherepovets
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:38 | KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Ak Bars Kazan | BUY | 0.48 | $7.20 |
| 09-16 11:21 | KHL: Salavat Yulaev Ufa vs. Ak Bars Kazan | BUY | 0.4799999996 | $199.28 |
| 09-13 10:10 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 09-13 10:04 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-13 10:03 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 09-13 10:03 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-13 09:38 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.53 | $26.50 |
| 09-13 08:52 | KHL: Avangard Omsk vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.5199999924 | $30.11 |
| 09-11 12:50 | KHL: Ak Bars Kazan vs. Metallurg Magnitogorsk | BUY | 0.4399999863 | $6.40 |
| 09-05 12:31 | KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Salavat Yulaev Ufa | BUY | 0.4799999717 | $6.10 |
| 09-04 18:02 | KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. HC Dynamo Moscow | BUY | 0.4499999669 | $6.80 |
| 08-23 06:08 | Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-15 09:51 | Dota 2: 1win vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survival | BUY | 0.68 | $24.60 |
| 06-29 20:13 | Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.3799999936 | $35.48 |
| 06-23 22:04 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.3799999936 | $35.48 |