caraboyle94Hardcore
0x4341539ef1d0e2ae139e0c5dfdcf84a8d66bfce5
- Realised P&L
- $-5.38
- Volume
- $363.07
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $5.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? · Yes | 0.968 | 0.962 | $2.85 | −$0.02 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? · No | 0.988 | 0.989 | $2.22 | +$0.00 |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.003 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.966Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.08at 0.968Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.05at 0.983Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.04at 0.983Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$0.03at 0.987Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 17? | BUY | 0.968 | $2.87 |
| 09-15 21:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9879999964 | $2.22 |
| 09-08 03:50 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 03:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.9639999572 | $2.97 |
| 09-08 03:45 | Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-09-09? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.90 |
| 09-08 03:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 9? | BUY | 0.0129999999 | $1.94 |
| 09-02 21:29 | Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9669999945 | $2.44 |
| 09-02 21:27 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9819999936 | $2.45 |
| 09-02 21:25 | Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9869999954 | $2.59 |
| 09-02 21:24 | Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $2.74 |
| 08-28 13:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9879995882 | $1.43 |
| 08-28 13:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.9779999981 | $1.02 |