0x4330b5c7fecf31d6aa71fe2b68829105ffda7ab5
0x4330b5c7fecf31d6aa71fe2b68829105ffda7ab5
- Realised P&L
- $5.39
- Volume
- $347.13
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $33.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seahawks vs. Commanders · Commanders | 0.240 | 1.000 | $20.83 | +$15.83 |
| Chargers vs. Seahawks · Chargers | 0.270 | 0.255 | $4.54 | −$0.27 |
| Dolphins vs. Vikings · Dolphins | 0.180 | 0.155 | $4.12 | −$0.67 |
| Titans vs. Ravens · Titans | 0.170 | 0.145 | $4.09 | −$0.70 |
| Cardinals vs. 49ers · Cardinals | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Chiefs vs. Dolphins · Dolphins | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.06at 0.016Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$-0.18at 0.280Jets vs. Lions
- +$-0.20at 0.250Chargers vs. Bills
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 18:27 | Jets vs. Lions | SELL | 0.27 | $4.82 |
| 09-25 18:27 | Chargers vs. Bills | SELL | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Chargers vs. Seahawks | BUY | 0.2699999972 | $4.81 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Dolphins vs. Vikings | BUY | 0.179999994 | $4.79 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Titans vs. Ravens | BUY | 0.1699999975 | $4.79 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Cardinals vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.229999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Seahawks vs. Commanders | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Chiefs vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Jets vs. Lions | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:47 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 03-18 19:41 | Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | SELL | 0.015 | $0.94 |
| 03-18 19:41 | Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.00 |