PolyBot

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Traders

arievien88

0x432a7a7156fbe44d8f98f5f2b73c8e10ad082275

Realised P&L
$-10.09
Volume
$311.04
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$6.03

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the MD-06 House seat? · Yes0.1290.055$6.03$8.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 07:59Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?SELL0.07$0.68
06-05 06:30Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?BUY0.1027271834$1.00
06-05 06:06Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.73$0.99
06-05 06:05New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? SELL0.93$0.99
06-05 05:59Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?SELL0.919$1.19
06-03 07:34New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? BUY0.9399996992$1.00
06-03 07:34Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.74$1.00
06-03 07:34Will the Republican Party win the CA-06 House seat?BUY0.9299999845$1.20
06-03 04:22Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?SELL0.08$4.92
06-02 23:03GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.76$2.99
06-01 14:02Will the Republican Party win the MD-06 House seat?BUY0.12$3.00
06-01 14:01GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.7599999595$3.00
06-01 14:01Will the Republican Party win the MD-06 House seat?BUY0.12$3.00
06-01 13:51Will the Republican Party win the MD-06 House seat?BUY0.3099999426$2.16
06-01 13:50Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999685$2.54